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Will Molina Healthcare Stock Rebound After An 8% Fall In A Week?
The stock price of Molina Healthcare, a managed care company best known for its health insurance through Medicaid and Medicare, reached its all-time high of $279 earlier this month, before a recent sell-off in health insurance stocks, led to an 11% fall in MOH stock to levels of around $248 currently. MOH stock is down 8% over the last five trading sessions. While the company raised its full-year guidance for revenue and earnings, there are concerns of rising Covid-19 related costs. The company benefited from lower medical costs in 2020, primarily due to fewer elective surgeries, but that trend has now reversed. With rising vaccination rates, there is a rise in the volume of elective surgeries, primarily due to a backlog that was created last year. This means health insurance companies will need to shell out more money to pay those bills. Molina’s MOH +2% medical costs as a percentage of premium income has risen to 88% in Q2 2021, compared to 82% in the prior year quarter, and it is likely to remain high in the near term. Now, after an 8% fall in a week, will MOH stock continue its downward trajectory over the coming weeks, or is a recovery in the stock imminent? According to the Trefis Machine Learning Engine, which identifies trends in the company’s stock price using ten years of historical data, returns for MOH stock average 8% in the next one-month (twenty-one trading days) period after experiencing an 8% drop over the previous week (five trading days). Also, the issue of high medical costs appears to be transient, and the company has raised its full-year outlook. As such, we believe that the MOH stock will likely rebound in the near term. But how would these numbers change if you are interested in holding MOH stock for a shorter or a longer time period? You can test the answer and many other combinations on the Trefis Machine Learning Engine to test Molina Healthcare stock chances of a rise after a fall. You can test the chance of recovery over different time intervals of a quarter, month, or even just 1 day!
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